Friday, April 11, 2008

Lucked or Fucked? That is the Question.

well, last night wasn't a result of bad play.

i am just running bad.
what ever that means.

i'll tell you that when one guy gets aa 6 times in 2 hours and gets 4 callers on average and wins all those hands, and i am sitting patiently having to make the hard decision to call the extra dollar in my small blind with absolute shit; the word luck will most certainly come to mind, or unlucky as it was.

i have never placed much stock in luck, being that i have never consistently had it.

where do i want this discussion to go?

if you play a million hands, i'm sure that on every given hand no matter what you had the last hand or the last 100 hands makes any difference on what the next hand will be. right? but i can't get more than one or 2 hands an hour and half of them i split or lose. then there is this other guy who in a max 200 buy-in game has 3800 in front of him. how do you explain that?
for 12 hours he was on fire, making every hand. granted he was a good player and used his dominance to bully the table. it got to be like fighting a guy with body armor in a rubber band fight. but still when he's raising with 2 face cards and all i see is 94off there is nothing you can do.

but that said, i don't get a hand for 3 hours and then get kk and of course an ace flops and someone bets large in to me.
but this has been for about 16 hours now. just getting chipped away. my skills have allowed me to steal some here and there and double up on an aggressive player with little cards. 67s to $17 dollar raise with position and a couple of other callers in my opinion is a great call and one likely to win you a large pot if you hit. that said you have to be able to read your opponent as to know when you are drawing dead, or if the pot odds, or implied odds warrant it.

so that said hand, for 17 dollars i get to have the nuts and double up.

what do you do when running bad, do you play through it? do you just quit for a while?
what do you do when the table is a ripe fruit tree, but you have 2 broken legs. all you can do is hope to eat the apples on the ground before they spoil.

back to the randomness of good and bad swings. one can't ignore that they occur. so do you call that bad luck or luck at all?
how can it seem so much like a wave?

is it just a statistical anomaly?
do you believe in the power of positive thinking?
can your thoughts possibly have an impact on the cards that are dealt?

say there is luck as an entity, then it has to be controlled by a force. say God then, or demons. being a God fearing man, i don't think that God plays a factor in the outcome of wagering. but if this force is controlled by the Prince of the power of the air, then what chance does a God fearing man have if the control of the world is in the hands of Lucifer?

no need to comment on that last paragraph. i don't feel like debating that topic with anyone right now.

whatever you believe, you cannot ignore that these swings occur.

so do you not play, or play through it?

i guess you limit your risk-taking when it's bad and the opposite when it's good.

I MEAN THE FUCKING GUY WAS BETTING DARK FOR 40 THEN LOOKING DOWN AFTER THE TURN TO A SET.– THIS HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES!!!!

i'm gonna take the weekend off to rest and take some aggression out by blowing up a bunch of defenseless inanimate objects.

stupit bleep, mother bleep, son of a bleep.
AAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!

sorry, i have been so composed and bottling up through all this losing (and acting like a gracious gentleman {a very rare commodity at the poker table for losers these days}) that i had to have one of those oral diarrhea moments.

i can't wait until i get a golden horseshoe shoved up my ass.

MN

1 comment:

Alex G. D. said...

Just catching up on your posts that I missed. I haven't read your next couple yet so I don't know if your luck has turned around.

Personally, I tend to be the king of swings in luck and it makes a big difference in how I play. You've seen me on a couple of hot streaks and when I get them I often throw my money around more than usual and sometimes end up bullying people out when I've got a shit hand.

It takes several awesome hands for me to be comfortable doing that, though, so if I don't get them I just slowly drain my stack.

Since that's the way I play, I'll never be a pro. Part of the reason I play that way is that I'm not very good at reading people, or at least on trusting my reads.

I do think most of luck feeds off perception so good luck breeds more good luck as you start playing like you're lucky. It takes some significant bad luck to turn that feeling around. I guess you have to know how much your feeling of luck effects your play. Once you start going on tilt 'cause of bad luck it's obviously time to step away, but there may be an earlier point where it's at least time to take a break.